Analizando la evolución del modelado de enfermedades infecciosas
Analisyng the evolution of infectious diseases modelling
Analisyng the evolution of infectious diseases modelling
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El interés global por conocer y controlar las enfermedades que afectan a humanos y animales ha permitido modelar enfermedades mediante diversos métodos (modelos matemáticos, estocásticos, discretos) que se aplican actualmente para predecir la propagación de nuevas epidemias, reducir el contagio de enfermedades infecciosas, evaluar el impacto que tendrán las diferentes estrategias de control de enfermedades y mejorar las condiciones de vida de los individuos. Actualmente, nuevas técnicas y herramientas se están implementando para modelar enfermedades infecciosas, el presente documento describe conceptos de esta área, así como las tendencias y retos existentes, finalmente se ofrecen al lector algunos criterios a considerar para la selección de un modelo epidemiológico. The global interest to know and deal with infectious diseases in humans and animals has led to the development of different models (mathematical, stochastic, discrete), applied to predict the spread of new epidemics, reduce the spread of infectious diseases, evaluate the impact of different disease control strategies and improve the living conditions of individuals. Nowadays, new techniques and tools are being implemented to model infectious diseases, this paper describes the main concepts of this area, current trends and existing challenges, and finally, describes some criteria for the selection of an epidemiological model.
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